Publications of Luke Barnard ordered by citations

A list of publications authored or co-authored by Luke Barnard, derived from the SAO/NASA Astrophysics Data System (ADS) and ordered by the numbers of citations. Publications above the horizontal line count towards the h-index.

Orcid ID: 0000-0001-9876-4612

306	Solar forcing for CMIP6 (v3.2) Matthes, Katja, Funke, Bernd, Andersson, Monika E., Barnard, Luke, Beer, Jürg, Charbonneau, Paul, Clilverd, Mark A., Dudok de Wit, Thierry, Haberreiter, Margit, Hendry, Aaron, Jackman, Charles H., Kretzschmar, Matthieu, Kruschke, Tim, Kunze, Markus, Langematz, Ulrike, Marsh, Daniel R., Maycock, Amanda C., Misios, Stergios, Rodger, Craig J., Scaife, Adam A., Seppälä, Annika, Shangguan, Ming, Sinnhuber, Miriam, Tourpali, Kleareti, Usoskin, Ilya, van de Kamp, Max, Verronen, Pekka T. & Versick, Stefan, 2017, Geoscientific Model Development, 10, 2247
76	Predicting space climate change Barnard, L., Lockwood, M., Hapgood, M. A., Owens, M. J., Davis, C. J. & Steinhilber, F., 2011, Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L16103
66	On the origins and timescales of geoeffective IMF Lockwood, Mike, Owens, Mathew J., Barnard, Luke A., Bentley, Sarah, Scott, Chris J. & Watt, Clare E., 2016, Space Weather, 14, 406
59	Reconstruction of geomagnetic activity and near-Earth interplanetary conditions over the past 167 yr - Part 4: Near-Earth solar wind speed, IMF, and open solar flux Lockwood, M., Nevanlinna, H., Barnard, L., Owens, M. J., Harrison, R. G., Rouillard, A. P. & Scott, C. J., 2014, Annales Geophysicae, 32, 383
51	A Computationally Efficient, Time-Dependent Model of the Solar Wind for Use as a Surrogate to Three-Dimensional Numerical Magnetohydrodynamic Simulations Owens, Mathew, Lang, Matthew, Barnard, Luke, Riley, Pete, Ben-Nun, Michal, Scott, Chris J., Lockwood, Mike, Reiss, Martin A., Arge, Charles N. & Gonzi, Siegfried, 2020, Solar Physics, 295, 43
50	Centennial variations in sunspot number, open solar flux, and streamer belt width: 1. Correction of the sunspot number record since 1874 Lockwood, M., Owens, M. J. & Barnard, L., 2014, Journal of Geophysical Research (Space Physics), 119, 5172
47	The persistence of solar activity indicators and the descent of the Sun into Maunder Minimum conditions Lockwood, M., Owens, M. J., Barnard, L., Davis, C. J. & Steinhilber, F., 2011, Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L22105
45	Solar cycle 24: Implications for energetic particles and long-term space climate change Owens, M. J., Lockwood, M., Barnard, L. & Davis, C. J., 2011, Geophysical Research Letters, 38, L19106
42	Evidence for solar wind modulation of lightning Scott, C. J., Harrison, R. G., Owens, M. J., Lockwood, M. & Barnard, L., 2014, Environmental Research Letters, 9, 055004
41	Semi-annual, annual and Universal Time variations in the magnetosphere and in geomagnetic activity: 1. Geomagnetic data Lockwood, Mike, Owens, Mathew J., Barnard, Luke A., Haines, Carl, Scott, Chris J., McWilliams, Kathryn A. & Coxon, John C., 2020, Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, 10, 23
38	Reconstruction of geomagnetic activity and near-Earth interplanetary conditions over the past 167 yr - Part 1: A new geomagnetic data composite Lockwood, M., Barnard, L., Nevanlinna, H., Owens, M. J., Harrison, R. G., Rouillard, A. P. & Davis, C. J., 2013, Annales Geophysicae, 31, 1957
38	The Development of a Space Climatology: 1. Solar Wind Magnetosphere Coupling as a Function of Timescale and the Effect of Data Gaps Lockwood, Mike, Bentley, Sarah N., Owens, Mathew J., Barnard, Luke A., Scott, Chris J., Watt, Clare E. & Allanson, Oliver, 2019, Space Weather, 17, 133
34	Extreme Space-Weather Events and the Solar Cycle Owens, Mathew J., Lockwood, Mike, Barnard, Luke A., Scott, Chris J., Haines, Carl & Macneil, Allan, 2021, Solar Physics, 296, 82
32	Reconstruction of geomagnetic activity and near-Earth interplanetary conditions over the past 167 yr - Part 2: A new reconstruction of the interplanetary magnetic field Lockwood, M., Barnard, L., Nevanlinna, H., Owens, M. J., Harrison, R. G., Rouillard, A. P. & Davis, C. J., 2013, Annales Geophysicae, 31, 1979
32	Tests of Sunspot Number Sequences: 3. Effects of Regression Procedures on the Calibration of Historic Sunspot Data Lockwood, M., Owens, M. J., Barnard, L. & Usoskin, I. G., 2016, Solar Physics, 291, 2829
32	An Assessment of Sunspot Number Data Composites over 1845-2014 Lockwood, M., Owens, M. J., Barnard, L. & Usoskin, I. G., 2016, ApJ, 824, 54
29	Validation of a priori CME arrival predictions made using real-time heliospheric imager observations Tucker-Hood, Kimberley, Scott, Chris, Owens, Mathew, Jackson, David, Barnard, Luke, Davies, Jackie A., Crothers, Steve, Lintott, Chris, Simpson, Robert, Savani, Neel P., Wilkinson, J., Harder, B., Eriksson, G. M., L Baeten, E. M. & Wan Wah, Lily Lau, 2015, Space Weather, 13, 35
28	Near-Earth heliospheric magnetic field intensity since 1750: 1. Sunspot and geomagnetic reconstructions Owens, M. J., Cliver, E., McCracken, K. G., Beer, J., Barnard, L., Lockwood, M., Rouillard, A., Passos, D., Riley, P., Usoskin, I. & Wang, Y. -M., 2016, Journal of Geophysical Research (Space Physics), 121, 6048
27	A homogeneous aa index: 1. Secular variation Lockwood, Mike, Chambodut, Aude, Barnard, Luke A., Owens, Mathew J., Clarke, Ellen & Mendel, Véronique, 2018, Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, 8, A53
26	Modulation of UK lightning by heliospheric magnetic field polarity Owens, M. J., Scott, C. J., Lockwood, M., Barnard, L., Harrison, R. G., Nicoll, K., Watt, C. & Bennett, A. J., 2014, Environmental Research Letters, 9, 115009
23	Centennial variations in sunspot number, open solar flux, and streamer belt width: 2. Comparison with the geomagnetic data Lockwood, M., Owens, M. J. & Barnard, L., 2014, Journal of Geophysical Research (Space Physics), 119, 5183
22	The Solar Stormwatch CME catalogue: Results from the first space weather citizen science project Barnard, L., Scott, C., Owens, M., Lockwood, M., Tucker-Hood, K., Thomas, S., Crothers, S., Davies, J. A., Harrison, R., Lintott, C., Simpson, R., O'Donnell, J., Smith, A. M., Waterson, N., Bamford, S., Romeo, F., Kukula, M., Owens, B., Savani, N., Wilkinson, J., Baeten, E., Poeffel, L. & Harder, B., 2014, Space Weather, 12, 657
22	Ensemble CME Modeling Constrained by Heliospheric Imager Observations Barnard, L., Owens, M. J., Scott, C. J. & de Koning, C. A., 2020, AGU Advances, 1, e2020AV000214
22	Semi-annual, annual and Universal Time variations in the magnetosphere and in geomagnetic activity: 2. Response to solar wind power input and relationships with solar wind dynamic pressure and magnetospheric flux transport Lockwood, Mike, McWilliams, Kathryn A., Owens, Mathew J., Barnard, Luke A., Watt, Clare E., Scott, Chris J., Macneil, Allan R. & Coxon, John C., 2020, Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, 10, 30
21	Testing the current paradigm for space weather prediction with heliospheric imagers Barnard, Luke A., de Koning, Curt A., Scott, Christopher J., Owens, Mathew J., Wilkinson, Julia & Davies, Jackie A., 2017, Space Weather, 15, 782
21	Reconstruction of geomagnetic activity and near-Earth interplanetary conditions over the past 167 yr - Part 3: Improved representation of solar cycle 11 Lockwood, M., Nevanlinna, H., Vokhmyanin, M., Ponyavin, D., Sokolov, S., Barnard, L., Owens, M. J., Harrison, R. G., Rouillard, A. P. & Scott, C. J., 2014, Annales Geophysicae, 32, 367
20	Near-Earth heliospheric magnetic field intensity since 1750: 2. Cosmogenic radionuclide reconstructions Owens, M. J., Cliver, E., McCracken, K. G., Beer, J., Barnard, L., Lockwood, M., Rouillard, A., Passos, D., Riley, P., Usoskin, I. & Wang, Y. -M., 2016, Journal of Geophysical Research (Space Physics), 121, 6064
20	Generation of Inverted Heliospheric Magnetic Flux by Coronal Loop Opening and Slow Solar Wind Release Owens, Mathew J., Lockwood, Mike, Barnard, Luke A. & MacNeil, Allan R., 2018, ApJ, 868, L14
20	Time-of-day/time-of-year response functions of planetary geomagnetic indices Lockwood, Mike, Chambodut, Aude, Finch, Ivan D., Barnard, Luke A., Owens, Mathew J. & Haines, Carl, 2019, Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, 9, A20
20	The heliospheric Hale cycle over the last 300 years and its implications for a "lost" late 18th century solar cycle Owens, Mathew J., McCracken, Ken G., Lockwood, Mike & Barnard, Luke, 2015, Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, 5, A30
19	Tests of Sunspot Number Sequences: 2. Using Geomagnetic and Auroral Data Lockwood, M., Owens, M. J., Barnard, L., Scott, C. J., Usoskin, I. G. & Nevanlinna, H., 2016, Solar Physics, 291, 2811
19	HUXt—An open source, computationally efficient reduced-physics solar wind model, written in Python Barnard, Luke & Owens, Mathew, 2022, Frontiers in Physics, 10, 1005621
18	Solar cycle 24: what is the Sun up to? Lockwood, Mike, Owens, Mat, Barnard, Luke, Davis, Chris & Thomas, Simon, 2012, Astronomy and Geophysics, 53, 3.09
18	The Development of a Space Climatology: 3. Models of the Evolution of Distributions of Space Weather Variables With Timescale Lockwood, Mike, Bentley, Sarah N., Owens, Mathew J., Barnard, Luke A., Scott, Chris J., Watt, Clare E., Allanson, Oliver & Freeman, Mervyn P., 2019, Space Weather, 17, 180
17	Tests of Sunspot Number Sequences: 1. Using Ionosonde Data Lockwood, M., Scott, C. J., Owens, M. J., Barnard, L. & Willis, D. M., 2016, Solar Physics, 291, 2785
17	Drag-Based CME Modeling With Heliospheric Images Incorporating Frontal Deformation: ELEvoHI 2.0 Hinterreiter, Jürgen, Amerstorfer, Tanja, Temmer, Manuela, Reiss, Martin A., Weiss, Andreas J., Möstl, Christian, Barnard, Luke A., Pomoell, Jens, Bauer, Maike & Amerstorfer, Ute V., 2021, Space Weather, 19, e02836
16	Near-Earth Cosmic Ray Decreases Associated with Remote Coronal Mass Ejections Thomas, S. R., Owens, M. J., Lockwood, M., Barnard, L. & Scott, C. J., 2015, ApJ, 801, 5
15	Semi-annual, annual and Universal Time variations in the magnetosphere and in geomagnetic activity: 3. Modelling Lockwood, Mike, Owens, Mathew J., Barnard, Luke A., Watt, Clare E., Scott, Chris J., Coxon, John C. & McWilliams, Kathryn A., 2020, Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, 10, 61
15	The solar influence on the probability of relatively cold UK winters in the future Lockwood, M., Harrison, R. G., Owens, M. J., Barnard, L., Woollings, T. & Steinhilber, F., 2011, Environmental Research Letters, 6, 034004
14	The Development of a Space Climatology: 2. The Distribution of Power Input Into the Magnetosphere on a 3-Hourly Timescale Lockwood, Mike, Bentley, Sarah N., Owens, Mathew J., Barnard, Luke A., Scott, Chris J., Watt, Clare E., Allanson, Oliver & Freeman, Mervyn P., 2019, Space Weather, 17, 157
14	Modeling the Observed Distortion of Multiple (Ghost) CME Fronts in STEREO Heliospheric Imagers Chi, Yutian, Scott, Christopher, Shen, Chenglong, Barnard, Luke, Owens, Mathew, Xu, Mengjiao, Zhang, Jie, Jones, Shannon, Zhong, Zhihui, Yu, Bingkun, Lang, Matthew, Wang, Yuming & Lockwood, Mike, 2021, ApJ, 917, L16
14	Semi-annual, annual and Universal Time variations in the magnetosphere and in geomagnetic activity: 4. Polar Cap motions and origins of the Universal Time effect Lockwood, Mike, Haines, Carl, Barnard, Luke A., Owens, Mathew J., Scott, Chris J., Chambodut, Aude & McWilliams, Kathryn A., 2021, Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, 11, 15
13	The National Eclipse Weather Experiment: an assessment of citizen scientist weather observations Barnard, L., Portas, A. M., Gray, S. L. & Harrison, R. G., 2016, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London Series A, 374, 20150220
13	A survey of gradual solar energetic particle events Barnard, L. & Lockwood, M., 2011, Journal of Geophysical Research (Space Physics), 116, A05103
13	The Value of CME Arrival Time Forecasts for Space Weather Mitigation Owens, M. J., Lockwood, M. & Barnard, L. A., 2020, Space Weather, 18, e02507
11	Differences between the CME fronts tracked by an expert, an automated algorithm, and the Solar Stormwatch project Barnard, L., Scott, C. J., Owens, M., Lockwood, M., Crothers, S. R., Davies, J. A. & Harrison, R. A., 2015, Space Weather, 13, 709
10	Using Ghost Fronts Within STEREO Heliospheric Imager Data to Infer the Evolution in Longitudinal Structure of a Coronal Mass Ejection Scott, C. J., Owens, M. J., de Koning, C. A., Barnard, L. A., Jones, S. R. & Wilkinson, J., 2019, Space Weather, 17, 539
10	Universal Time Variations in the Magnetosphere and the Effect of CME Arrival Time: Analysis of the February 2022 Event that Led to the Loss of Starlink Satellites Lockwood, M., Owens, M. J. & Barnard, L. A., 2023, Journal of Geophysical Research (Space Physics), 128, e2022JA031177
10	The National Eclipse Weather Experiment: use and evaluation of a citizen science tool for schools outreach Portas, Antonio M., Barnard, Luke, Scott, Chris & Harrison, R. Giles, 2016, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London Series A, 374, 20150223
9	What can the annual 10Be solar activity reconstructions tell us about historic space weather? Barnard, Luke, McCracken, Ken G., Owens, Mat J. & Lockwood, Mike, 2018, Journal of Space Weather and Space Climate, 8, A23
9	Extracting Inner-Heliosphere Solar Wind Speed Information From Heliospheric Imager Observations Barnard, L. A., Owens, M. J., Scott, C. J. & Jones, S. R., 2019, Space Weather, 17, 925
8	Forecasting Occurrence and Intensity of Geomagnetic Activity With Pattern-Matching Approaches Haines, C., Owens, M. J., Barnard, L., Lockwood, M., Ruffenach, A., Boykin, K. & McGranaghan, R., 2021, Space Weather, 19, e2020SW002624
7	Tracking CMEs using data from the Solar Stormwatch project; observing deflections and other properties Jones, Shannon R., Barnard, Luke A., Scott, Christopher J., Owens, Mathew J. & Wilkinson, Julia, 2017, Space Weather, 15, 1125
7	Quantifying the Uncertainty in CME Kinematics Derived From Geometric Modeling of Heliospheric Imager Data Barnard, L., Owens, M. J., Scott, C. J., Lockwood, M., de Koning, C. A., Amerstorfer, T., Hinterreiter, J., Möstl, C., Davies, J. A. & Riley, P., 2022, Space Weather, 20, e2021SW002841
7	Rate of Change of Large-Scale Solar-Wind Structure Owens, Mathew J., Chakraborty, Nachiketa, Turner, Harriet, Lang, Matthew, Riley, Pete, Lockwood, Mike, Barnard, Luke A. & Chi, Yutian, 2022, Solar Physics, 297, 83
6	Using the ionospheric response to the solar eclipse on 20 March 2015 to detect spatial structure in the solar corona Scott, C. J., Bradford, J., Bell, S. A., Wilkinson, J., Barnard, L., Smith, D. & Tudor, S., 2016, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London Series A, 374, 20150216
6	The Visual Complexity of Coronal Mass Ejections Follows the Solar Cycle Jones, S. R., Scott, C. J., Barnard, L. A., Highfield, R., Lintott, C. J. & Baeten, E., 2020, Space Weather, 18, e02556
5	The Dynamic Evolution of Multipoint Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejections Observed with BepiColombo, Tianwen-1, and MAVEN Chi, Yutian, Shen, Chenglong, Liu, Junyan, Zhong, Zhihui, Owens, Mathew, Scott, Christopher, Barnard, Luke, Yu, Bingkun, Heyner, Daniel, Auster, Hans-Ulrich, Richter, Ingo, Wang, Yuming, Zhang, Tielong, Guo, Jingnan, Sánchez-Cano, Beatriz, Pan, Zonghao, Zou, Zhuxuan, Xu, Mengjiao, Cheng, Long, Su, Zhenpeng, Mao, Dongwei, Zhang, Zhiyong, Wang, Can, Wu, Zhiyong, Wang, Guoqiang, Xiao, Sudong, Liu, Kai, Hao, Xinjun, Li, Yiren, Chen, Manming & Lockwood, Mike, 2023, ApJ, 951, L14
5	Tianwen-1 and MAVEN Observations of the Response of Mars to an Interplanetary Coronal Mass Ejection Yu, Bingkun, Chi, Yutian, Owens, Mathew, Scott, Christopher J., Shen, Chenglong, Xue, Xianghui, Barnard, Luke, Zhang, Tielong, Heyner, Daniel, Auster, Hans-Ulrich, Richter, Ingo, Guo, Jingnan, Sánchez-Cano, Beatriz, Pan, Zonghao, Zou, Zhuxuan, Su, Zhenpeng, Wu, Zhiyong, Wang, Guoqiang, Xiao, Sudong, Liu, Kai, Hao, Xinjun, Li, Yiren, Chen, Manming, Dou, Xiankang & Lockwood, Mike, 2023, ApJ, 953, 105
5	Solar Energetic-Particle Ground-Level Enhancements and the Solar Cycle Owens, Mathew J., Barnard, Luke A., Pope, Benjamin J. S., Lockwood, Mike, Usoskin, Ilya & Asvestari, Eleanna, 2022, Solar Physics, 297, 105
5	Ion Charge States and Potential Geoeffectiveness: The Role of Coronal Spectroscopy for Space-Weather Forecasting Owens, M. J., Lockwood, M. & Barnard, L. A., 2018, Space Weather, 16, 694
4	Constraints on Solar Wind Density and Velocity Based on Coronal Tomography and Parker Solar Probe Measurements Bunting, Kaine A., Barnard, Luke, Owens, Mathew J. & Morgan, Huw, 2024, ApJ, 961, 64
3	Solar Stormwatch: tracking solar eruptions Barnard, Luke, Scott, Chris, Owens, Matt, Lockwood, Mike, Tucker-Hood, Kim, Wilkinson, Julia, Harder, Briana & Baeten, Elisabeth, 2015, Astronomy and Geophysics, 56, 4.20
2	Toward GIC Forecasting: Statistical Downscaling of the Geomagnetic Field to Improve Geoelectric Field Forecasts Haines, C., Owens, M. J., Barnard, L., Lockwood, M., Beggan, C. D., Thomson, A. W. P. & Rogers, N. C., 2022, Space Weather, 20, e2021SW002903
2	SIR-HUXt—A Particle Filter Data Assimilation Scheme for CME Time-Elongation Profiles Barnard, Luke, Owens, Mathew, Scott, Chris, Lang, Matthew & Lockwood, Mike, 2023, Space Weather, 21, e2023SW003487
1	Annual Variations in the Near-Earth Solar Wind Owens, Mathew J., Lockwood, Mike, Barnard, Luke A., Yardley, Stephanie L., Hietala, Heli, LaMoury, Adrian T. & Vuorinen, Laura, 2023, Solar Physics, 298, 111
1	Sensitivity of Model Estimates of CME Propagation and Arrival Time to Inner Boundary Conditions James, Lauren A., Scott, Christopher J., Barnard, Luke A., Owens, Mathew J., Lang, Matthew S. & Jones, Shannon R., 2023, Space Weather, 21, e2022SW003289
1	Solar Wind Interactions with Comet C/2021 A1 Using STEREO HI and a Data-assimilative Solar Wind Model Watson, Sarah R., Scott, Christopher J., Owens, Mathew J. & Barnard, Luke A., 2024, ApJ, 970, 101
1	A Multi-Model Ensemble System for the Outer Heliosphere (MMESH): Solar Wind Conditions Near Jupiter Rutala, M. J., Jackman, C. M., Owens, M. J., Tao, C., Fogg, A. R., Murray, S. A. & Barnard, L., 2024, Journal of Geophysical Research (Space Physics), 129, e2024JA032613
1	A Geomagnetic Estimate of Heliospheric Modulation Potential over the Last 175 Years Owens, Mathew J., Barnard, Luke A., Muscheler, Raimund, Herbst, Konstantin, Lockwood, Mike, Usoskin, Ilya & Asvestari, Eleanna, 2024, Solar Physics, 299, 84
1	Inferring thermospheric composition from ionogram profiles: a calibration with the TIMED spacecraft Scott, Christopher J., Jones, Shannon & Barnard, Luke A., 2021, Annales Geophysicae, 39, 309
0	Statistical Analysis of Comet Disconnection Events Using STEREO HI and a Data-assimilative Solar Wind Model Watson, Sarah, Scott, Chris, Owens, Mathew, Barnard, Luke & Lang, Matthew, 2025, ApJ, 982, 66
0	Drag-based CME modeling with heliospheric images incorporating frontal deformation: ELEvoHI 2.0 Hinterreiter, Juergen, Amerstorfer, Tanja, Temmer, Manuela, Reiss, Martin A., Weiss, Andreas J., Möstl, Christian, Barnard, Luke A., Pomoell, Jens, Bauer, Maike & Amerstorfer, Ute V., 2021, essoar.10507758
0	Adapting Ensemble-Calibration Techniques to Probabilistic Solar-Wind Forecasting Edward-Inatimi, N. O., Owens, M. J., Barnard, L., Turner, H., Marsh, M., Gonzi, S., Lang, M. & Riley, P., 2024, Space Weather, 22, 2024SW004164
0	Universal Time Variations in Space Weather Lockwood, Michael, Owens, Mathew J., Haines, Carl, Barnard, Luke, Scott, Christopher John, Chambodut, Aude, McWilliams, Kathryn A. & Thomson, Alan W. P., 2020, essoar.10504343
0	Quantifying the uncertainty in CME kinematics derived from geometric modelling of Heliospheric Imager data Barnard, Luke, Owens, Mathew J., Scott, Christopher John, Lockwood, Michael, de Koning, Curt A., Amerstorfer, Tanja, Hinterreiter, Juergen, Moestl, Christian, Davies, Jackie A. & Riley, Pete, 2021, essoar.10507552
0	Calibrating Estimates Of Ionospheric Long-Term Change Scott, Christopher John, Wild, Matthew N., Barnard, Luke Anthony, Yu, Bingkun, Yokoyama, Tatsuhiro, Lockwood, Michael, Mitchel, Cathryn, Coxon, John & Kavanagh, Andrew, 2024, Annales Geophysicae, 42, 395